You never know what to expect week to week from the Broncos, but I like them to jump out to a rare early lead with the Cowboys and hang around all game. The Cowboys have the entire world betting on them because they’re 7-0 ATS, an ATM cash machine, but they haven't laid double-digits in any game. With the Broncos defense allowing only 17 points per game, I took the points with Denver.

Broncos tight end Noah Fant is on the COVID list, but it's not a big hit to the offense with Albert Okwuegbunam ready to step in. He's caught 12 of his 13 targets. With Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick as his wideouts, Teddy Bridgewater should do enough to keep this competitive. The key factor is Bridgewater's ability to limit turnovers: he has six in eight games, and just two in four road games. Dallas has feasted on 14 turnovers. Dak Prescott (calf) should return, but likely won't be 100 percent. I'm taking 10 points at -125.

The Cowboys put together an incredible game in the face of adversity on Sunday, outgaining the Vikings by 141 yards on offense while letting inexperienced backup Cooper Rush throw the ball 40 times. With Dak Prescott being a gametime decision, it seems likely he's able to play this week. If he does, I love laying this number against a Broncos team that only managed 17 points and less than 300 yards of offense against a Washington defense that has been awful against the pass this year. I have Dallas as five points better than average with Dak at QB, and when you throw in home field, you need the Broncos to be an average team for this to make sense. Get Cowboys -7 when it's available.