The Bears have relied on their running game in Justin Fields' four starts; he has thrown for 68, 209, 111 and 174 yards. Chicago won't have success running against the Bucs -- no one does. They're giving up 3.4 yards per carry. They also had extra rest to get ready for this revenge spot (the Bears beat them 20-19 last year in Chicago). With Robert Quinn on the COVID/reserve list and Akiem Hicks and Khalil Mack yet to practice, I'll lay the big number with Tampa Bay's unstoppable offense.

The Buccaneers are coming off back-to-back dominant performances, but a late rally by the Eagles last Thursday means the Bucs have covered just once in their last four games. But they have a great shot to get up big and stay ahead, as the Bears passing game has done next to nothing this year. And since the Bucs have one of the best run defenses in the league, how is Chicago going to score points in this game? I don't think that's a problem for Tom Brady even against a good defense, and getting to even 24 points should be enough to cover this number. You can also play the Chicago team total Under 16.5 if you're worried about covering the big number.