I expect the Bucs to win by 10 and so does the SportsLine Projection Model so I'll grab the Fins and 11. It's an obvious letdown spot for the Bucs, who are very thin in the secondary due to injuries and again without tight end Rob Gronkowski. Miami has covered five straight as a road dog and obviously the heat and humidity in Tampa won't be an issue for it.

The Dolphins must take advantage of Tampa Bay’s tattered secondary, which is missing safety Antonio Winfield Jr and multiple CBs. Their absence should instill confidence in backup QB Jacoby Brissett, who is hesitant to throw downfield, perhaps under coach Brian Flores’ orders. On offense, QB Tom Brady clearly suffered with TE Rob Gronkowski out, and Gronk figures to sit again. The ‘Dolphins have covered in five of their last six road games when receiving points.

The Bucs escaped Narrative Bowl 2021 with a win, and with a Thursday night matchup up next on the books, could this be a letdown spot? I don't see it. Miami is a mess right now and should be 0-4 after getting outplayed by the Pats in Week 1 but getting a win anyway. The O-line can't block for Jacoby Brissett, who holds the ball too long, and that means bad things against this Bucs pass rush. If that pass rush dominates, the Bucs' secondary injuries won't matter, and a backdoor cover won't be a concern. And Tom Brady should carve up a Dolphins defense that allowed 58 points to Derek Carr and Carson Wentz the last two weeks. Bucs roll in this one.