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Sun 09/12 | 5:00 PM UTC | Detroit
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
San Francisco 49ers --, -- ATS
SF -9.5
SF -450
Over 46
Detroit Lions --, -- ATS
DET +9.5
DET +350
Under 46

Expert Picks

San Francisco 41 @ Detroit 33 | 09/12 | 5:00 PM UTC

Detroit +9

WIN

ANALYSIS: I get why the Lions are such big underdogs, especially with their best offensive lineman out. However, I can't not take this many points at home in Week 1. Why? In the past five seasons, opening-week favorites of at least 8 are 1-8 ATS. Over the past 10: 5-14 ATS. Motor City Kitties with a backdoor cover. Note that a few sites have it at 9.5 and I'd like to potentially wait for that but we have a picks deadline.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 SF ATS PICKS
+185 3-1 IN LAST 4 DET ATS PICKS

Season Splits

--, -- ATS
--, -- ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
When Line was 44.5 to 47.5
SPREAD
When Line was 44.5 to 47.5
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs DET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SF
0%
0-0
0-0
0%