This one is going to feel uncomfortable when you hit submit, but the Ravens offer enough value to play at +10.5 in Pittsburgh. Yes, the Ravens are without Lamar Jackson, JK Dobbins, Mark Ingram, Mark Andrews, Willie Snead, and others. My simulations still only make the Ravens +8.6 road dogs in this divisional game with Robert Griffin III under center. All of the attention is on the Steelers WR group in this one, but don't sleep on the Ravens big play ability with Brown and Duvernay. Take the points and get ready to sweat!

I really don't want to bet this game at -10 and recommend buying down to Steelers -9.5 if you can, but I think this spread may rise a half-point by kickoff with the Wednesday morning surprising news that Baltimore's top two running backs, JK Dobbins and Mark Ingram, in fact will NOT return from the COVID-19 list as expected. That Baltimore offense is also down Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, Willie Snead IV and a few linemen. I'm simply not sure the Ravens can even get to 14 points with RGIII under center, while Pittsburgh should at least manage 27 points vs. a short-handed Baltimore defense.

The Ravens reportedly head to Pittsburgh with a roster of just 34 players. Missing are at least three Pro Bowlers, including QB Lamar Jackson, who gives way to the washed-up Robert Griffin III. Baltimore goes to work with four defensive linemen and no tight ends, unless one is elevated from the practice squad. What’s more, the Steelers are ticked off that the league keeps postponing this matchup instead of declaring a forfeit. Four Steelers are expected to sit out because of COVID-19 protocols, but the hosts are in far better shape.