Calvin Ridley did not practice Friday and I don't think he'll play, which would be a big blow to Atlanta's offense. Denver is getting Tim Patrick back. Along with Jerry Jeudy and Phillip Lindsay, he should help the Broncos keep this close. Grab the points.

The Broncos came back from a 24-3 deficit to beat the Chargers 31-30 despite being outgained on the evening by over 130 yards. In this spot, Denver is playing another team known for blowing leads, but I trust the Falcons here. Somehow, the Broncos have covered five of their first seven games despite turning the ball over on 17.6% of their offensive possessions. They can't keep getting that lucky playing so poorly.

I’m looking for the Broncos to carry momentum from last week’s improbable comeback win against the Chargers on the road to Atlanta, their fourth trip to the Eastern time zone this season. They’ve covered all three of those road games and won the last two outright. The Falcons have won two of their last three, but both wins were on the road. The high number is what lured me in.