Detroit is better than its record. The Lions sit 1-3, but their opponents are a combined 14-5 and are all above .500. With a healthy Kenny Golladay, Matthew Stafford should dice up a Jags D that ranks dead last in DVOA both overall and against the pass. Jacksonville's opening upset of the Colts is looking like an outlier: In its last three games, it lost by a combined 43 points to a trio of below-.500 teams, and two of its top players (Josh Allen, D.J. Chark) are banged-up and listed as questionable. Lay the three.

Both these teams have only one win, but the Jaguars have all kinds of injuries, while the Lions will be at their healthiest of the season. This game against the Jags will be their easiest opponent thus far. Their first four opponents are 14-5 combined with the lone win coming in Arizona. The Jags have lost their last four, the last three against losing teams. Lions to cover and win.

With rest, the Lions have covered in seven of their last eight outings. The Jags rush the passer poorly, which should provide oodles of time for QB Matthew Stafford, and he can slice up a defense that ranks last in opponents’ yards per catch. Ace WR Kenny Golladay is rounding into form after his season’s start was delayed by injury. Lay the field goal.

Getting a key number here and I'm going Under. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in yards per play. Jacksonville is poised to get back three defensive starters who sat out against Houston, while Jags No. 1 wideout D.J. Chark is dealing with an ankle injury that might sideline him. Go Under.