There never was a question about the Bills' defense, the question has been about Josh Allen. The QB has answered it with a great start to 2020, throwing 10 TD passes and just one interception. Buffalo's offense ranks second in the NFL at 6.9 yards per play. I have the Raiders' offense ranked 10th but their defense 25th, and they currently are 27th in yards allowed per play. Buffalo by seven.

Josh Allen is becoming the QB that the football universe thought David Carr would be. Not that the Raiders veteran is substandard, but his Bills counterpart is approaching elite status. Allen's passer rating (124.8) trails only the otherworldly Russell Wilson. He has never had a WR on his side like newcomer Stefon Diggs. Allen could pick apart a Vegas secondary that will be without CB Damon Arnette (thumb) and maybe S Johnathan Abram (shoulder). Carr could be missing his reliables, with WRs Henry Ruggs (hamstring) and Bryan Edwards (ankle) iffy. The Bills have avoided an ATS defeat in nine of their last 11 roadies.

The Bills are 3-0 behind Josh Allen, but aside from stomping the Jets, they haven't won by more than three points. Will they be able to in Vegas? We've only got a one-game sample size, but signs point to a big home-field advantage for the Raiders, even without fans. Buffalo's defense has been surprisingly bad so far (24th in DVOA) and despite the Raiders D also being full of holes, Vegas can keep this one close. Grab the points.

Buffalo's 3-0 start is definitely legit, and the Bills are one of the best teams in the NFL. Because of their continuity along both sides of the line of scrimmage, and in the secondary, the Bills just seems as if they are playing at a faster tempo than their opponents. The Raiders are looking to bounce back after a loss to the Patriots, and now have to deal with yet another athletic, mobile quarterback who can extend plays.

Defensive leader Nick Kwiatkoski (pectoral) is expected back for the Raiders, which will be huge for this struggling unit. Buffalo is 3-0 but has been far from dominant. Take the points with a Raiders team that should show up big at home all season.

I know the scoreboard didn't look great in the Raiders' loss to the Patriots, but I thought they played pretty well for most of that game considering their offensive injuries, and I chalk a big part of the loss up to fumble luck going against them. The Bills are 3-0 but have been shaky in their last two games, including on the road in Miami against a far worse team than this Las Vegas squad. The Bills struggled to stop the run against the Rams, and that's not good news with Josh Jacobs coming to town. With Darren Waller likely to be in better health this week, I think the Raiders have a much better chance of winning this game than the line suggests.