The Jags came away with the biggest upset of Week 1 while the Titans barely won in Denver, but both results come with an asterisk. Jacksonville got outgained by nearly 200 yards, while Tennessee would've covered if its kicker didn't go 1-for-4. The public has been all over the underdog (always a red flag) as this line has dropped to 7. But the Jags had one of the five worst run defenses in the league last season, and now they face Derrick Henry. Lay the points.

Look now at the QB passer ratings because you won’t see the Jags’ Gardner Minshew (third between future Hall of Famers Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers) there long. Still, Minshew (19-for-20) has quieted the Trevor Lawrence/2021 draft speculation with a stellar showing in the opener. The Titans are solid but not explosive on offense, which makes the healthy spot a tad high — particularly after Stephen Gostkowski’s atrocious placekicking last Sunday.

Going to jump on Jacksonville with the expectation this line drops a bit. The Jaguars proved they aren't as bad as people thought last week, and even though they didn't put up a ton of yardage on offense, Gardner Minshew outplayed Philip Rivers to get his team the win. The Titans don't seem like a team built to blow many opponents out, and I worry about how they'll show up for this one after having to play super late on Monday night. The trends point to Tennessee, and the public backing Jacksonville heavily as a 'dog scares me, but I'm going to take the plunge a second straight week with the Jags on an inflated line.