Thought this line might drop closer to kickoff, but alas, it has come down enough where we're still getting solid value with the Seahawks. I don't mind Doug Baldwin being out of action -- just as I did not last week -- because Seattle has been playing without him most of the season. There's enough playmaking talent, a strong enough running game, and a more-than-capable defense -- all of which should allow the Seahawks to hold onto a late lead and get a cover. Though Nick Mullens has been a nice surprise for San Francisco, let's not forget this was a 43-16 decision just 14 days ago. It will be closer, for sure, but Seattle should pull out a clean win here.

This line has conveniently sank from 5.5, which puts it in a territory that makes the Seahawks irresistible. Coming off a Monday nighter is a slight concern, but that is overridden by Seattle’s dominance in the series — nine straight outright wins. A little rain and a lot of wind are possible, which would play right into the ‘Hawks’ wheelhouse. They are the ultra-ground-oriented team in the NFL, with just 20 passes thrown in their latest game.

Seattle has gone 11-2-1 in the last 14 meetings with the 49ers, including a 43-16 win at Seattle two weeks ago. The Seahawks have won four straight and because the 49ers showed up and won last week against a banged-up Broncos squad full of new faces, this spread is extremely cheap. The Seahawks lead the NFL in rushing and great running teams always travel well. Seattle is the play Sunday.

Nick Mullens has been San Francisco's starting QB for five weeks now, and he's been much better at home than on the road. In three home starts the Niners are 2-1 with Mullens and averaging 27 points per game. I like their chances of covering here against a Seahawks offense that struggles without Doug Baldwin, and could be without him again this week.