I think the Vikings are a great team, but the Packers have an excellent home-field advantage when Aaron Rodgers is on the field. Davante Adams looks like he's available, and with Rodgers out there, the Packers should be able to score in the 20s against this defense. The Packers' defense looks better this season, especially with a pair of solid rookie cornerbacks in tow, and a bad Vikings line could force Kirk Cousins into making some mistakes. I would have made the Packers a slight favorite in this game.

Even if Aaron Rodgers plays, he won't be nearly 100 percent. The VIkes are better even if Rodgers is healthy, so then it becomes a matter of how much homefield is worth. Not this much. Back Minnesota to cover for the fifth time in the past six meetings.

Two possible scenarios here. One: Gimpy Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers (knee) starts, stays in the pocket all day, struggles to find open receivers against a crippling Vikings defense and endures enough three-and-outs to enable Minnesota to win with 20-something points. Two: DeShone Kizer starts in Rodgers’ place and endures one three-and-out after another. Either way, the Pack will be contained offensively, which sets up a final score in the low 40s or less.

Aaron Rodgers' status is up in the air for this game, though I expect him to play. Even so, I'm a fan of the Under in this matchup. The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the NFL and will be dealing with a Rodgers with limited mobility. Yes, Green Bay and Rodgers lit up the Bears defense in the second half, but unlike the Bears, the Vikings have a full week to prepare for the adjustments Green Bay made. Plus, it doesn't hurt that the Under has gone 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two, and Tony Corrente (a friend to the Under) is the official scheduled to work the game.