Can it get much worse for Minnesota's offense? Well, yes. They have plummeted to 32nd in the league, and QB Sam Bradford will be taking snaps from a backup now that C Joe Berger (concussion) is out. WR Stefon Diggs (knee) might sit, too. And Bradford (ankle) is ailing. This line would be larger if the game happened Sunday. I can’t envision the Vikings scoring enough to keep pace with Dak Prescott and the Cowboys.

Minnesota is getting virtually nothing out of its offense during its recent poor stretch. After starting the season 5-0, the Vikings have managed just 10 offensive touchdowns in their last six games. In order to stick with the Cowboys, they're going to have to put together long drives that end in points on the board. However, Minnesota has no rushing attack and not much downfield explosiveness. Since Dallas is a team that just doesn't make mistakes on offense (seven turnovers in 11 games), it's hard to see them gifting the Vikings points, even on the road in a Thursday game.

The Cowboys' rating has reached its ceiling. Last week against Washington was their first non-cover in 10 weeks. But we can look back at the game before against the Ravens and see a good defense had some success slowing Dallas down. Sure, Dallas blew the game open, 27-17 at home, and gained over 400 yards, but Baltimore held its own most of the way. Minnesota's defense is just as good, more opportunistic, and is playing at home. The Vikes' ATS success the past couple years has come as underdogs. Dallas should not be laying more than 1.5 points here. Getting over a FG is great value in a low-scoring game.