This total has moved three points since the site was changed to Tallahassee ,which basically provides more value on the Under. Florida State struggled to score in its first year under Willie Taggart, while its defense was vulnerable. Both areas should improve this season. But the Broncos return many starters from an annually stout defense that yielded just 22 points per game. They also are young on the offensive side. Some big plays should be seen, but both clubs should get enough stops for an Under.

With Hurricane Dorian bearing down on north Florida, this neutral-site matchup in Jacksonville has been shifted to Tallahassee. FSU is spared a trip, however brief, and gets to stay at home while Boise must shuffle its travel plans. This scenario is a tough intro to college football for freshman Boise QB Hank Bachmeier. He must deal with an unforgiving defense and a rowdy crowd. Though the Seminoles took their time in deciding on a QB, James Blackman is not shy on experience.

I'd been leaning in this direction the moment the line was posted, and now with Hurricane Dorian bearing down on Florida, I like it more. This game could be canceled, or it could be moved from Jacksonville to Tallahassee. If it's played, I don't expect a lot of points to be scored wherever they play it.

Florida State comes off its first losing season since 1976 but I'm expecting a quick turnaround in Willie Taggert's second year just because of the experienced depth at all positions. The Seminoles have 16 starters returning and they'll be facing a Boise State program that lost its leading rusher, receiver, and passer. FSU will also have a home-field edge in Jacksonville that isn't factored into the number. I'm on Florida State.