TCU is 6-6 on the road (5-7 ATS) while averaging a 72-72 score and shooting 46%. That's the same shooting percentage they have at home. It’s an edge I’m willing to sacrifice here, because Tech is rolling. The Red Raiders have won their past four, two of those on the road, and have covered their last five. They shot 48% over those five, while opponents shot 39%. Texas Tech is 7-1 ATS in its past eight. The Red Raiders are playing their best right now, while TCU has lost four of its last five. Take Texas Tech to cover.

Texas Tech has one of the best home court-advantages in the sport because, I mean, it's Lubbock. What else is there to do? Piggly Wiggly? Visit Jimmy at the 6666 Ranch? (just guessing that's near Lubbock) TTU's record is deceiving because it had been ravaged by injuries -- former WAC Player of the Year and transfer Fardaws Aimaq has been limited to seven games but is finding his stride and it's no coincidence Texas Tech has won four in a row. Another player, Daniel Batcho, could be back today. TTU legitimately could get an NCAA at-large berth despite once being 10-10 overall and 0-8 in the Big 12 if it runs the regular-season table and perhaps wins one Big 12 Tournament game. TCU recently got both Mike Miles and Eddie Lampkin back from injury, but Lampkin hasn't looked good yet. The Frogs have lost five of six overall and six of seven away.

With Fardaws Aimaq back in the lineup, Texas Tech is a threat to every Big 12 team. The former WAC Player of the Year has keyed the Red Raiders' four-game win streak and is averaging 15 points and 10 rebounds over the last three games. The Red Raiders have knocked off Texas and Kansas State during this run, and earlier this season they had a two-point loss to Texas and a three-point loss to Kansas. Their 5-10 conference record is deceiving. TCU has Mike Miles back, but the Horned Frogs have dropped four straight road games. Lay the small number with the surging hosts.