DraftKings. This sets up as a brutal matchup for Ausar Thompson. The defensive dynamo is under this combined line in 12/16 games against teams in the top 15 of both transition defense and points allowed at the rim. The Spurs rank third and fourth respectively in those categories. Plus, I do think the Pistons look to use Thompson as a point-of-attach defender against Victor Wembanyama, which sets him up for potential foul trouble.

Spurs forward Julian Champagnie has cleared this points prop total in 20 of his last 24 games. While he's facing a tough matchup at Detroit, the Pistons' expected defensive focus on Victor Wembanyama and San Antonio's other bigtime scorers could help Champagnie. He hasn't shot well this month, but the opportunities continue to be there.

The Detroit Pistons have won and covered five straight games overall. Look for that to end against a Spurs team that has also has a win streak winning their last eight games. One of the weaknesses of the Pistons post New Year’s is they are 2-7 ATS against Western Conference teams. In fact three of their four losses have come against teams out the West. Tail the Spurs.

The Spurs have been involved in some blowouts lately, which has left Stephon Castle to play 24 or fewer minutes in four straight games. Still, he combined for at least 21 points and assists in two of them. For the season, he averages 16.7 points and 6.8 assists. The Pistons are an excellent defensive team, but the key here is that this should be a close matchup between two of the better teams in the league. That should result in Castle playing closer to 30 minutes, which would put him in a great spot to hit this over.