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FanDuel. Sam Merrill is averaging 3.7 made three pointers per game this season, clearing this line in 13/22 contests. When he plays alongside both Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, his conversion rate jumps to 8/12. He’s coming off a torrid stretch where he’s cleared this line in five straight, and now gets arguably the best matchup a spot-up shooter could ask for. The Jazz allow the second most spot up points per game at the highest points per possession. They converge on pick and roll ball handlers (fifth fewest shot attempts), forcing the action back outside. Merrill’s hot streak lately is unsustainable, but this is a nice spot for a volume uptick (and he shoots 51% from long range at home). Bet it to +105.
The Jazz have lost 6 of the past 7 games and are coming off a 150-95 loss vs CHA on Saturday. The 55-pt loss was the largest by a team this season. But Lauri Markkanen: DNP (rest) last game is expected to play tonight. He is averaging 28.6 PPG in the past 10 games (25+ pts in 8 of 10). I’ll take all these points and Utah.

The total is 250 for this matchup between the Jazz and Cavs. Utah has been terrible defending opposing guards, and Garland shoots better and scores more at home. Look for Garland to go off in this dream matchup against the NBA's worst defense.

Sam Merrill is averaging 14.7 points over 10 games since returning from injury. That included him scoring at least 15 points in each of his last five games. Dean Wade (knee) won’t play Monday, which should help Merrill’s minutes. Also helping his cause to hit this over is that the Jazz have the worst defensive rating in the league. The cherry on top is that Merrill shoots 51.5% from the field at home, compared to 44.1% on the road. Look for him to stay hot in this matchup.
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