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Thu, Dec 2510:00 pm UTCChase Center
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L19-33
ATS23-28
O/U24-28-0
FINAL SCORE
116
-
126
Golden State
Warriors
GS
Last 5 ATS
W/L28-25
ATS25-28
O/U30-23-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
19-33
Win /Loss
28-25
23-28
Spread
25-28
24-28-0
Over / Under
30-23-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DAL @ GS
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MONEYLINE
DAL @ GS
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OVER / UNDER
DAL @ GS
Subscribers Only

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74%
PUBLIC
26%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadDallas +8.5 -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1059
27-15 in Last 42 NBA ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Back-to-back wins for the Warriors not long after Steve Kerr's lament about the status of his team, but need a bit more evidence before putting GS in the "go-with" category. The Dubs have been an erratic spread performer at best, and an underachiever at worst; Monday's win and cover over the Magic followed four spread Ls, and across the past fifteen games, the Warriors are only 5-10 vs. the number. Even during wins, there always seems a sidebar concern; on Monday it was Draymond Green's sideline spat with Kerr and retreat to the locker room in the 3rd Q. Meanwhile some hints of renaissance from the Mavs, who have won 7 of 11, roughly coinciding with Anthony Davis returning from his calf strain. Play Mavs

Pick Made: Dec 25, 4:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
REB + ASTCooper Flagg Over 9.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -133
WIN
Unit1.0
+586
8-2 in Last 10 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Cooper Flagg's all-around game is blossoming, and I'm expecting more of the same in his first Christmas Day showcase. The No. 1 overall draft pick has recorded 12 or more rebounds plus assists in five of his last six games, including a 9-rebound, 9-assist performance Tuesday vs. Denver. I would also play this Over 10.5 at even or plus money.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 4:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
ReboundsAnthony Davis Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -137
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2082
35-12 in Last 47 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Anthony Davis has hauled in at least 14 rebounds in four of his last five games. Fully back from injury, he logged at least 33 minutes in each of those games. The Warriors don’t have a ton of size up front, which has contributed to them allowing the 10th-most rebounds per game in the league. Look for Davis to dominate the glass in this matchup.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 3:27 am UTC on Caesars
Avatar
ReboundsAnthony Davis Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -138
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1179
85-63 in Last 148 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Coming off a tough rebounding matchup against the Nuggets and Nikola Jokic, I’m looking for Anthony Davis to clean the glass in a better spot against the Warriors. Davis is over this line in six of his last nine games, and seven of eleven games overall when he plays at least 30 minutes. The Warriors allow the seventh most rebounds to opposing centers, and Davis has historically boarded well against them.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 5:57 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
FootOut
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
Khris Middleton
Not Injury RelatedQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Tyus Jones
Not Injury RelatedQuestionable
Avatar
PG
AJ Johnson
Not Injury RelatedQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 03, 2026
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOut
Golden State Warriors
Sunday, Feb 08, 2026
Avatar
PG
Stephen Curry
KneeOut
Avatar
PG
L.J. Cryer
HamstringOut
Saturday, Feb 07, 2026
Avatar
C
Kristaps Porzingis
AchillesOut
Saturday, Jan 31, 2026
Avatar
SG
Seth Curry
BackOut
Tuesday, Jan 20, 2026
Avatar
SF
Jimmy Butler
KneeOut
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