Trust me, I get it, betting the New Orleans Pelicans is really tough to do. They are 3-18 this season and have worst record in Western Conference. They also have the honor of the second-worst 21-game start in franchise history (2-19 in 2004-05 as New Orleans Hornets). But this many points at home versus an erratic Wolves team, is too much. I’ll take the points.

DraftKings. Trey Murphy returns for the Pelicans tonight, and is immediately greeted by a brutal matchup against the Timberwolves. Murphy, who thrives as a spot-up shooter, will face off against Minnesota’s top ranked defense against the playtype. Overall, Murphy is under this line in 10 of 19 games. I’d bet this down to under 22.5 points and assists.

Anthony Edwards has scored at least 31 points in each of his last five games. His usage rate for the season is 32.7%, which is on pace to be the highest mark of his career. He is only averaging 25.0 points per game at home, compared to 32.9 points on the road. The Pelicans have the third-worst defensive rating in the league, and this game will be played in New Orleans, so look for Edwards to remain hot in the scoring department.