B365 at +110. Ryan Kalkbrenner has cleared this line in eight of twelve games this season. He gets a nice matchup against the Raptors, who are allowing the sixth most baskets at the rim per game, including ranking 26th against roll men in the pick and roll. Kalkbrenner splits his time with Moussa Diabete, but I like the matchup a bit more for the Creighton alum tonight, as he’ll be needed against Jakob Poeltl (who has strung together two straight strong performances).

The Raptors' 8-5 record is even more impressive when you realize they have only played 4 home games. In these 4 home games they've shot 42% from 3pt range (vs 34% on the road). The Hornets allowed a very high 38% from 3pt range on the road (vs just 35% at home) and this season they are allowing a super high 44% 3pt% in a decently large 6 game sample size. Immanuel Quickley comes in on a solid 4-1 over stretch but only made two in his last game. The math is simple for me. He averages 2.5 made threes and this is a better than average 3pt shooting situation based on the home/road splits for the Raptors offense and Charlotte's defense.

We’re getting a significant discount on this combination line for LaMelo Ball who did miss 5 games as a result of an ankle injury, however this will be his 2nd game back. LaMelo played 27 minutes on Friday night and I expect that number to land somewhere between 32-34 for a game that projects to be high scoring and a paced up environment. Ball is averaging just shy of 39 PRA which is in line with what he’s averaged the last 2+ seasons.