FanDuel. Walker Kessler has cleared this line in three of four games this season, including a 25-point, 11-rebound outing against the Suns last week. Phoenix is very weak defensively on the interior, and are getting destroyed on the offensive glass (fourth most allowed, and second highest offensive rebound rate to opponents). Kessler thrives on the offensive glass, and is also seeing plenty of touches in the revamped Jazz offense. I’d bet this up to over 24.5, or over 13.5 points.

Phoenix is not a good rebounding team. They were outrebounded by 2 per game last season and by 3 to start this season. They are much better at home which is why this line is lower than expected. Utah just lost to Portland because they were 'only' +7 on the boards. They are +12 on the boards so far to start the season. Nurkic is projected for over 7 in just 18 minutes tonight. He's had two double digit rebounding games in just 18 minutes this season. When he gets 16 to 22 minutes he is averaging 7.1 boards and is over 5.5 in 13 of 20 games since last season. That is the sweet spot we see for him tonight.

Walker Kessler has scored at least 18 points in three of his four games this season. He is shooting 75.0% from the field, which comes on the heels of him shooting 66.3% last season. When he faced the Suns on Monday, he torched them for 25 points on 9-for-12 shooting from the field. The Suns have allowed the eighth-most points in the paint per game in the NBA, which puts Kessler in a favorable spot to hit this over.

Lauri Markkanen has scored at least 32 points in each of the last three games for the Jazz. That included a game against the Suns in which he scored 51 points. He has been more aggressive this season, averaging 8.8 free-throw attempts per game and posting a 27.8% usage rate. The Suns have the third-worst defensive rating in the league and will be missing their best defender in Dillon Brooks (groin), so look for Markkanen to stay hot.