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Sat, Oct 2511:30 pm UTCState Farm Arena
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L24-2
ATS14-12
O/U14-12-0
FINAL SCORE
117
-
100
Atlanta
Hawks
ATL
Last 5 ATS
W/L15-12
ATS14-13
O/U16-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
24-2
Win /Loss
15-12
14-12
Spread
14-13
14-12-0
Over / Under
16-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OKC @ ATL
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
OKC @ ATL
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
OKC @ ATL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

63%
PUBLIC
37%
MONEY
91%
PUBLIC
9%
MONEY
Over92%
PUBLIC
Under8%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBTrae Young Under 38.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Prop's Analysis:

Caesar’s. Targeting opposing point guard unders against the Thunder was a profitable strategy last season, and I’m going right back to it tonight. Trae Young is in for a brutal matchup against Cason Wallace and Lu Dort and the Thunder’s top five pick and roll defense. I’d bet this down to under 37.5 PRA.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 10:16 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsAjay Mitchell Over 12.5 Total Points -110
WIN
Unit1.0
Prop's Analysis:

Caesar’s. Let’s go back to the well with Ajay Mitchell to exceed his points line. Mitchell has registered 16 and a career high 26 points the last two games. The Thunder will once again be missing Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe, and both Cason Wallace and Chet Holmgren are questionable. Even if the latter two suit up, Mitchell has established himself as a key piece for this team, and should be in store for at least 24 minutes off the bench. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will also see one of his toughest individual matchups against Dyson Daniels.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 4:18 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
PointsAjay Mitchell Over 11.5 Total Points -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+365
6-2 in Last 8 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Thunder are dealing with multiple injuries right now. Jalen Williams (wrist), Alex Caruso (concussion) and Isaiah Joe (knee) are all out for this game, while Chet Holmgren (back) and Cason Wallace (knee) are listed as questionable. Because the Thunder are so shorthanded, Ajay Mitchell logged 38 minutes against the Pacers on Thursday. He scored 26 points in the game, which came on the heels of him scoring 16 points over 15 minutes in the Thunder’s season opener against the Rockets. Mitchell shot 49.5% from the field and 38.3% from three last season, so with added minutes likely coming his way, I like this over.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 2:05 pm UTC on BetRivers
SpreadAtlanta +6.5 -109
LOSS
Unit0.5
+156
4-2 in Last 6 NBA Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Oklahoma City could be really short-handed with a handful of guys already out led again by Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso, and a few others iffy in Cason Wallace and Chet Holmgren. If they both sit, I think we are good here. It is the second of a B2B for Atlanta, but you get fired up to face the champs. Kristaps Porzingis didn't play Friday but I tend to think does here. Since I don't know about the two Thunder guys or the Unicorn, we do a half for now but would raise if all the injuries work to our favor (although this would drop a little). OKC might be totally gassed having played a pair of double-OT games already.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 2:03 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
Avatar
SG
Isaiah Joe
KneeQuestionable
Thursday, Oct 30, 2025
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
GroinOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
Atlanta Hawks
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
Avatar
C
Kristaps Porzingis
IllnessOut
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
PG
Trae Young
KneeOut
Avatar
C
N'Faly Dante
ConcussionOut
Avatar
PF
Eli N'Diaye
ShoulderQuestionable
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
SF
Jacob Toppin
ShoulderOut
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