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Sun, May 0410:00 pm UTCRocket Arena
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-40
ATS50-54
O/U56-48-1
FINAL SCORE
121
-
112
Cleveland
Cavaliers
CLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L69-22
ATS53-38
O/U58-32-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
65-40
Win /Loss
69-22
50-54
Spread
53-38
56-48-1
Over / Under
58-32-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
IND @ CLE
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
IND @ CLE
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OVER / UNDER
IND @ CLE
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46%
PUBLIC
54%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over87%
PUBLIC
Under13%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadIndiana +8.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+3388
234-172-2 in Last 408 NBA Picks
+275
5-2 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
+305
24-19 in Last 43 CLE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Cavaliers made quick work of the Heat in the first round, but the Pacers should be a more difficult foe. The Pacers went 3-1 against the Cavaliers during the regular season, which included them winning both games in Cleveland. The Pacers have size, depth and playoff experience. As good as the Cavaliers are, I think the Pacers keep this close enough to cover. I could see this being a long series.

Pick Made: May 04, 7:32 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadIndiana +8 -109
WIN
Unit1.0
+1490
147-120-2 in Last 269 NBA Picks
+640
67-55-1 in Last 123 NBA ATS Picks
+1160
37-23 in Last 60 IND ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Should Indy be getting a bit more respect? All the Pacers did at the end of the regular season is win 13 of their last 16 and followed that up by taking out Giannis and the Bucks in five in the first round. Remember, Indiana has won three series since last spring, and also won three of four in the regular season vs. the Cavs (note the last two Pacers wins were in the final week of the regular season). Matchups don't look bad for the Pacers, either (Pascal Siakam might cause problems for Evan Mobley on the blocks), and Cavs PG Darius Garland, who missed the last two games of the Miami sweep, is iffy for Sunday with a big toe injury. Play Pacers

Pick Made: May 04, 7:20 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + REBJarrett Allen Over 22.5 Total Points + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. After a series against the Heat where Jarrett Allen cleared this line in 3/4 games in a tougher matchup against the Heat, the Cavs big man has a decidedly easier spot against the Pacers. Indiana ranked 26th against roll men in the pick and roll this season, and allowed the tenth most rebounds. Allen has cleared this line in 29/44 games playing at least 26 minutes with both Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley active.

Pick Made: May 04, 3:12 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBTyrese Haliburton Under 33.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. After an exhilarating finish to the series against the Bucks, I’m expecting Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers to come back down to earth a bit in the series against the Cavs. Haliburton struggled on the road all season, staying under this combined points, rebounds and assists line in 26/38 away games, averaging 29.3 PRA (including the playoffs). This includes 9/11 against teams in the top 10 of pick and roll defense. The Cavs ranked 4th in that department this season, and are coming off a series where they held Tyler Herro in check for three of four games. I’d bet this one down to under 32.5 PRA.

Pick Made: May 04, 2:52 am UTC on DraftKings
Over/UnderOver 229 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1802.5
115-87-1 in Last 203 NBA Picks
+184
14-11 in Last 25 NBA O/U Picks
+420
11-7 in Last 18 IND O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I have a hard time thinking the Pacers believe they can win low-scoring games here. They have to push the pace like crazy and run-and-run. Both teams were top 10 in pace in regular season; Cavs were 7th in pace at home and Pacers were 6th in pace on road. Playoffs are different, sure, but their regular-season games featured 244, 226, 244 and 201 points. Both teams will be rested enough going in. The Cavs were 3rd in NBA in offensive rating at home. Cavs home games averaged 227 points at home, where they average over 120/G. The series will probably settle down but I could see a track meet in the opener.

Pick Made: May 03, 12:41 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Indiana Pacers
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Avatar
SG
Quenton Jackson
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Kam Jones
BackOut
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
SG
Ben Sheppard
CalfOut
Saturday, Nov 15, 2025
Avatar
SF
Aaron Nesmith
KneeOut
Friday, Oct 31, 2025
Avatar
PF
Obi Toppin
FootOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Haliburton
AchillesOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Avatar
SG
Max Strus
FootOut
Thursday, Dec 11, 2025
Avatar
C
Jarrett Allen
FingerOut
Avatar
SG
Sam Merrill
HandOut
Sunday, Nov 30, 2025
Avatar
PF
Larry Nance Jr.
CalfOut
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