Domantas Sabonis has logged at least 32 minutes in both games since returning from injury. In his last game Tuesday, he logged 38 minutes against the Thunder. He is averaging 13.9 rebounds per game this season, so this line stands out a bit. He has faced the Trail Blazers three times this season, recording 13, 14 and 14 rebounds in those games. The Trail Blazers are down to foul-prone Donovan Clingan and the underwhelming Duop Reath at center, so expect Sabonis to have a busy night on the boards.

This is probably too high, but I need a slumpbuster (just a minor slump), and all the motivation is on the Kings' side as a four-game skid (against mostly very good competition) suddenly has put them teetering on the edge of missing the West Play-In entirely. Portland is improved but playing out the string and well under .500 away. Jerami Grant (14.4 PPG) and Toumani Camara (11.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG) are in doubt. Portland has lost four straight in Sac-Town.

Another day another Deni Avdija fade. You’d think judging by the amount of times I’ve faded him recently that I’m not a fan, however that is not the case. I’m just dispassionate and I firmly believe the oddsmakers continue to over inflate his lines. While this may be a good matchup, Avdija is less productive on the road. The Blazers also have a bevy of high usage players and volume scorers. Avdija took 18 shots in his last outing and still stayed under this line.

Anfernee Simons has proven to be a streaky scorer but he’s a very talented scorer and has a green light in Portland’s offense. He’s facing a Kings team that doesn’t play much defense and plays at a fast pace. Simons averages nearly 3 additional PPG on the road and this game will be played in Sacramento. Simons is coming off a dreadful performance and I like his chances of bouncing back.