If you are ever wondering why I don't stick to 100% player props like some others on here, last night's Trae Young Under 26.5 point loss for the Hawks is why. There was NO REASON for Young to be in a blowout in the fourth quarter when dealing with an injury, but he was and landed Over on a jumper with 1:14 left and Atlanta already up 16 points. Probably the angriest I have been at a prop in 2025. Indiana's Pascal Siakam is having a really productive month in averaging about right on this number but averages 20.3 PPG on the season at home and Minnesota is again one of the NBA's top defensive teams. Our model has Siakam at 19.8 PPG tonight.