DraftKings. Tobias Harris has cleared this line in 16 of his last 21 games, including 15 of 17 with at least 30 minutes of floor time. The matchup against Miami should be sound for Harris, as the Heat’s defense is predicated on taking away the pick and roll. Secondary scorers will have to step up, which should open up opportunit for Harris off of Cade Cunningham’s primary action.

In a clash between an overachiever and an underachiever, guess who we like? The Pistons keep giving us reason to back them, and reminded on Monday what they could do vs. a lesser foe when blowing away the Pels in New Orleans. It was the third time in four games that Detroit has scored 123 or more. The latest showcase for Cade Cunningham, who led a balanced Detroit with 24 points as the Pistons hit 55% from the floor, and now a 15-6-1 spread surge. Meanwhile, all the Heat do is lose, eight straight, the longest slump of HC Erik Spoelstra's career. They failed to score more than 95 in three straight, and not within single digits in the last four. Play Pistons.

These two teams are heading in opposite directions. The Pistons are 13-5 over their last 18 games and all 13 of those wins came by at least five points. The Heat have lost eight straight games with six of those losses coming by at least five points. The Pistons are 23-10-2 ATS on the road this season, including 10-2 ATS as a road favorite. Combine all of that with the Pistons not having any key injuries and I like them to cover this spread.

The Heat are horribly flawed post Himmy Butler trade and I will keep fading them within reason. They have failed to cover 6 in a row, all by at least 4 points. They have failed to cover those games on average by 14 points. They've lost 4 in a row by 12+. Heat are averaging 102.1 PPG over last 10 games, 4 less than any other NBA team. Pistons are a top 10 Defensive team last 10 games. Pistons have covered 7 of last 9 on the road, all by at least 3 points. They have covered those games on average by 11 points. Heat seem to be waving the white flag and their fans are pretty sickened by what remains of the culture.