Franz Wagner has enjoyed a terrific season but much like his team has struggled, Wagner's scoring has dipped in the month of March. Wagner is averaging just 21.8 PPG and has been held under this line in three of his previous four appearances. Minnesota is also very tough on opposing forwards and have been playing great defense recently. The Magic are on the back half of a B2B and on the road where they are double digit underdogs. Lots of ways for Wagner to stay under this line.

DraftKings. When playing alongside Paolo Banchero this season, Franz Wagner is averaging 32.3 combined points, rebounds and assists, and has stayed under this number in 17/27 games. And within that subset, against teams in the top 15 of defensive rating, Wagner has failed to clear this line in 9/11 games. The Timberwolves rank 6th in that department, and have Rudy Gobert back to playing 30+ minutes. Coming off a quick turnaround after playing in New Orleans last night, I see this line has being 2-3 PRA too high for Franz.

The Wolves have it cooking on offense now and look fully adjusted from their pre-season trade. They are sharing the ball and hitting their open shots. They have scored 115+ in 10 of last 12 games, averaging 119/G in that span. Magic are a strong defensive team but allowing 107/G last 5 on the road and their inability to score can have an impact on the other end of the court. Wolves 5th in NBA O rating last 12 games and playing looser at home. Getting Brunson and Divincenzo going has been huge for the scope of their offense.