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Sun, Mar 095:00 pm UTCPaycom Center
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS39-43
O/U48-33-1
FINAL SCORE
103
-
127
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L68-14
ATS54-26
O/U47-35-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
50-32
Win /Loss
68-14
39-43
Spread
54-26
48-33-1
Over / Under
47-35-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ OKC
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DEN @ OKC
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ OKC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

61%
PUBLIC
39%
MONEY
22%
PUBLIC
78%
MONEY
Over66%
PUBLIC
Under34%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
ReboundsNikola Jokic Over 12.5 Total Rebounds -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Let’s continue to ride the wave with Nikola Jokic, who has cleared his rebounding prop line in eight of his last nine games. Averaging 12.9 rebounds per game this season, he’s acquitted himself very well in above average matchups. Against teams ranking in the bottom half of the NBA in rebounds allowed to opposing centers, Jokic has cleared this line in 21/31 games. The Thunder are 23rd in that department.

Pick Made: Mar 09, 3:29 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadOklahoma City -6.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+146
7-5 in Last 12 OKC ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

We've got the top two teams in the west hooking up in OKC with the Nuggets coming into town. The Thunder have gone 27-4 at home covering 22 of those. These two met in Denver twice this year splitting the decision in each with Denver winning the last one 124-122. The Nuggets have won four of the last seven after having a nine-game win streak. The Thunder have won their last six and covered four of their last five. Light spread for the Thunder at home. Betting against Denver on the road. Thunder.

Pick Made: Mar 09, 3:28 am UTC on BetMGM
SpreadOklahoma City -6.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1802.5
115-87-1 in Last 203 NBA Picks
+469.5
102-87-2 in Last 191 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 DEN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Thunder have won 20 of their last 22 at home and all of them by at least 8 points. They are the best team in the NBA for me right now and significantly better and more balanced than Denver. Nuggets have some serious defensive issues and shooting is very streaky. Nuggs have covered just 3 of their last 10 on road and 1 of last 5 overall. Denver allowing 119/G on the road over their last 10 away from home and the Thunder will be able to score on them from paint and behind the arc. OKC has covered 4 of its last 5. OKC 2nd O rating and 5th D rating in NBA over last 15 games. SGA putting ! on his MVP resume

Pick Made: Mar 08, 11:13 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Tuesday, Dec 30, 2025
Avatar
C
Nikola Jokic
KneeOut
Thursday, Dec 25, 2025
Avatar
SF
Cameron Johnson
KneeOut
Monday, Dec 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Tamar Bates
FootOut
Wednesday, Jan 14, 2026
Avatar
SG
Christian Braun
AnkleOut
Friday, Jan 02, 2026
Avatar
C
Jonas Valanciunas
CalfOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thursday, Oct 30, 2025
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
GroinOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
Wednesday, Jan 14, 2026
Avatar
C
Isaiah Hartenstein
CalfOut
Avatar
SF
Luguentz Dort
FootQuestionable
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