This looks like a good spot to back Chet Holmgren who is coming off of his best game since returning from a lengthy absence. Chet scored 20 points in just 28 minutes on Friday against the Jazz and had the game not been a blowout he was likely to log over 30 minutes. He will face a Timberwolves team that is missing both Rudy Gobert and Julius Randle. If this game is competitive, I like Chet's chances of scoring at least 15 points.

B365 at -120. Would bet down to under 32.5, or under 28.5 points. As great as Anthony Edwards has been lately, I have to come back to this under against the Thunder’s elite defense against primary ball handlers. And for whatever reason, Edwards has worse splits at home (which has historically been the case): Ant is under this line in 20/27 road games.

OKC has been a machine lately except for a 15-poiint slip up at MIN just before the break. Nice time for revenge. Thunder have won 8 of their last 9 and every win is by at least 12 points. Beat the Wolves by 8 earlier this season. OKA is 20-8-3 ATS with 1 day off, while MIN (also played Fri) is 14-22-1 in those instances. Thunder are 22-9-2 ATS with equal rest, and MIN is 10-22-1. Wolves are far too up and down at both ends of court and could use KAT here. MIN 4-5 ATS last 9 games and 9-19-1 ATS at home. Thunder go for the jugular and thrive on double-digit wins. Intent on that 1 seed.