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Fri, Feb 141:30 am UTCAmerican Airlines Center
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L37-45
ATS36-45
O/U45-37-0
FINAL SCORE
113
-
118
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L39-43
ATS40-41
O/U51-30-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
37-45
Win /Loss
39-43
36-45
Spread
40-41
45-37-0
Over / Under
51-30-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ DAL
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ DAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
MIA @ DAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
38%
PUBLIC
62%
MONEY
Over70%
PUBLIC
Under30%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBMax Christie Over 24.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -128
WIN
Unit0.5
+2390.75
100-43 in Last 143 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Which Mavs guard to play tonight with half the roster out? I pondered Spencer Dinwiddie but he's a retread and usual reserve. 22-year-old Max Christie is part of the team's future and might actually turn the Luka Doncic trade from utter Schrute Farms manure to, I dunno, 5-year-old cottage cheese. So if I'm Jason Kidd, don't I plan my offense around the promising young kid? But I don't rule out Dinwiddie going all Teen Wolf, either. Our model basically has them at the same P/R/A but Christie is set a point lower is all this is.

Pick Made: Feb 14, 12:34 am UTC on Caesars
Money LineMiami -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+222
4-2 in Last 6 NBA ML Picks
Tim's Analysis:

Both the Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks are on the second half of a back to back. The Mavs won behind Kyrie Irving’s huge performance, but I was more impressed with the Miami Heat and the way they played for three quarters against the Thunder. I believe that confidence carries over against the banged-up Mavericks.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 5:32 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadMiami -1 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1775
45-24 in Last 69 NBA Picks
+1736
25-7 in Last 32 NBA ATS Picks
+825
19-10-1 in Last 30 DAL ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

For the second time in a week, the Miami Heat had a disastrous fourth quarter performance. After a nine point fourth quarter performance against Brooklyn, the Heat dipped one point lower to the Thunder with eight fourth quarter points last night. Look for the Heat to take their frustrations out on the court tonight against a Mavericks team that exerted a lot of energy in their win over the Warriors. The Heat are also getting more comfortable and adjusted to their new trade acquisitions in Andrew Wiggins and Davion Mitchell. Lay it with the Heat.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 5:24 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
PointsBam Adebayo Over 17.5 Total Points -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+50.5
159-136 in Last 295 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. After a slow start, Bam Adebayo turned the corner on his season. He’s cleared this line in eight straight games, and in general, is over in 15/26 without Jimmy Butler this season. He gets a Mavs squad who will be out their entire front line (Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, Dwight Powell). And while there are always questions of motivation the last game before the All Star break, the Heat have lost three straight games, and should be looking to end their first half on a high-note.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 1:15 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PG
Davion Mitchell
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Tyler Herro
ToeQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Pelle Larsson
HipQuestionable
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut
Dallas Mavericks
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
SG
Klay Thompson
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
C
Daniel Gafford
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
FootQuestionable
Thursday, Nov 20, 2025
Avatar
SG
Dante Exum
KneeOut
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOut
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