Getting this prop out quickly as it is on the move. I'd still play it at 15.5 but I would scale to 15.5. Very difficult matchup for Thompson who is still a raw scorer who doesn't pose a threat from the perimeter.

This is a big number for Alperen Sengun in what would certainly qualify as a difficult matchup against the Timberwolves. Minnesota combines the 5th slowest pace with the 7th ranked defense. They surrender the 4th fewest rebounds to opposing Centers, in addition to allowing the 5th most APG. Furthermore, since Rudy Gobert joined the T-Wolves, Sengun has faced him 7x and only eclipsed this combo line once.

No Freddie VV again for Houston so Jalen Green may have to play a few more minutes. Since the New Year, Green is averaging 25.9 PPG. Minnesota is a good defensive team but also in the second of a B2B so maybe not quite as good. Green is averaging just 11.0 in two games vs. the Wolves this season but those were early on before he got rolling. Our model has him at 22.0 and I doubt this number is available much longer with all of our other books at 21.5 and considering the juice.

Fred VanVleet (ankle) will be out again for the Rockets. He played just 17 minutes against the Nets on Saturday before suffering the injury, then sat out the last two games. In all three of those games, Thompson combined for at least 14 rebounds and assists. In one of those games, he produced a triple-double against the Knicks. Over his last 15 games as a starter, Thompson has averaged 10.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists across 39 minutes per game. Take this over.