This might be my last NBA total of the season because Unders are not working and I seem to have an Over mental block. But 248 points ... jeez. I can't find a model out there with this game even at 240. Yep, the Bulls do play fast but they haven't had a game with at least 249 total points scored since Jan. 4 and still no Coby White (18.2 PPG). How about a 124-120 final score?

This is a low PR line for Michael Porter Jr. who averages a combined 24.5 Points + Reb. I would also rate this as favorable matchup considering the Bulls play at the 3rd fastest pace in the league, in addition to the Nuggets ranking 5th in possessions per game. We're working with a 246.5 point total, easily the highest on Mondays slate.

Nuggets were due for a letdown eventually and it came with a thud Sat at MIN. They won't be down long. They are 12-4 ATS in last 16 games (8-2 ATS last 10) and haven't gone consecutive games without covering in that span. DEN 8-1 ATS last 9 times as a favorite or 5 or more, and have covered 7 of those by multiple scores. Bulls have failed to cover 5 straight at home (last 4 were blowouts), are 1-8 ATS in last 9 overall and 4-10-1 ATS vs the West. Nuggets had covered 5 straight on road before laying an egg vs the Wolves. Joker will have much more room to operate vs the defensively deficient Bulls.