Kelly Oubre Jr. has gone over this number in seven of his last nine games, and in the two he didn't he was facing an elite defense in OKC and Orlando. Denver is a middling defensive team and with Joel Embiid out, Oubre will be extra aggressive to score.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 14.3 rebounds this month, and now he faces a 76ers team missing Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond. Over the past three games, Philly has given up an average of 57 rebounds -- tied for fourth-most. Look for Jokic to grab at least 13 boards Tuesday.

We have been very cautious with the Nuggets, who were all our of sorts early. But they are playing their best ball now by far and starting to re-establish home court and this altitude is not what the spiraling Sixers need now. More bad news on Joel Embiid for Philly, on an 0-8 ATS jag. Sixers are 2-4 ATS when a dog of 9 points or more and 0-4-1 ATS as a road dog since 1/1. Nuggets have covered 6 of last 7 and their last 11 covers are all by at least 3.5 points. Philly 27th in opposing FG% on road over last 15 games. Nuggets 2nd in NBA in home FG% in that same span. DEN 9-1 ATS in last 10 as favorite.