Little higher than I'd like but want a reason to care about this one. Dallas had a few guys as iffy led by Luka Doncic but they are all playing. Minnesota has lost three straight in pretty lopsided fashion as the KAT trade hasn't worked out yet.

Bet365. PJ Washington has stayed under this line in 11/14 games when playing alongside both Luka Doncic (probable) and Kyrie Irving. While one of the overs was against the Timberwolves, I’m looking to fade Washington in what should be a tough matchup. Minnesota limits spot up shooting (4th fewest points) and transition points (11th), and that’s how Washington garners 55% of his points. Plus, Minnesota allows the 8th fewest rebounds per game. Would play this down to under 19.5.

The Minnesota Timberwolves were gaining ground last year and then they lost in the West Finals to the Mavericks 4-1, in fact they've lost five of their last six to the Mavericks. I thought Karl Anthony Towns long distance shooting was bad for the T-Wolves but it worked. Julius Randle doesn’t fit. The Timberwolves have lost three straight to make them 14-14 on the season and I think the problem is a little bit of bad attitude mixed in with entitlement. Minnesota is 11-17 against the spread this year, a complete turnaround from what they were doing last year at the same time. Dallas is 19-10 and 17-11 ATS. Dallas has won and covered their previous two. Mavericks solve the Timberwolves again.