This was a pick we discussed on “Primetime Pregame” (6pm est Cbssports.com.) Alex S. correctly points out that JP was usually effective b Bam last time they met. So I crunched and don’t think he will be as effective this time. Under

RJ Barrett had 37 points earlier this season at home against Miami, but on the road he's averaging just 19.4 PPG on 39.7% from the field. The Heat remain a stellar defensive team, especially at home. Most models have Barrett around 23 points tonight. I also think there's a blowout possibility where Barrett perhaps doesn't even play 30 minutes. With Scottie Barnes hurt again, every team's defensive focus should be on Barrett. I doubt this is close in that I think he probably either gets 30-plus in a close game or perhaps not even 20 in a rout. Early foul trouble would be swell.

These teams split a home and home a few weeks back, and the Het didn't win either game by this margin. Raptors have generally been keeping games close, and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12. They are better at home than road but this feels like a lot of points for a Heat team that has been playing well but with Jimmy Butler trade rumors exploding. Will they really be up for NBA Cup? They have covered 3 in a row at home but are just 6-5 ATS at home this season and well under .500 ATS at home since the start of last season. Raptors are 9-6 ATS when a dog of 8+ points. 11-4 ATS with day off and 17-8 ATS overall.