I notice Alex Selesnick also has this but my crunch brought me here. The Bulls are simply not the same backcourt D and DMitch is getting the keys to the Cleveland car. Too many ways to go over here

Allen is a top five rebounder in the NBA and is facing a Bulls time that lacks bite on the boards. Chicago is allowing opponents to grab 47 rebounds/game, 4th most in the NBA. Their inefficient shooting is a problem and is compounded by them being bottom 5 in offensive rebound %. Allen is coming off his worst game of the season vs the pesky Nets and will bounceback here. He is over this in 6 of the last 8 games and has at least 11 bounds in 7 of the last 8. He averages 9 defensive rebounds/game and should be at least at that vs the Bulls. Always a fear that a blowout cuts into his minutes but I bet he comes out swinging.

The Cavs are the best team in the NBA, and even when they let down some, like against the Nets the other night, they can hit a fear few teams can match. They are 5-0 ATS on road, covering every game by at least 2.5 points with avg cover margin of 9.5. Their 11 wins are by an average of 12.5 points (9-2 ATS). Bulls aren't particularly great at anything, were below .500 ATS last season at home and are 4-6 ATS this year (1-3 at home). They have failed to cover those 3 games by at least 6.5 points.

This is a potential ceiling game for Donovan Mitchell as thus far the Chicago Bulls lead the league in Pace/possessions per game. I also like the fact that Mitchell's peripheral stats (rebounds & assists) are well below his career averages, indicating he's run bad/been unlucky and is a positive regression candidate in the rebounding/assists department.