This feels low as our model has Ingram with 30.7 points as the Pelicans are without every other usual starter due to injury. At home this season, Ingram is averaging 27.6 PPG.

Claxton has gotten into some foul trouble the last two games, which has cut down on his minutes. But he also has fresher legs here to clean up the boards on an injured Pels team that doesn't shoot great and is last in rebound chance%, second-worst in defensive rebound %. I'm tempted to take the 10.5 for + money but have had some bad luck and bad beats early in in NBA, so going with the 9.5. He is only over this twice so far this season but the number reflects the deficiencies of his opponent.

The Nets have been a hard-luck team that doesn't know how to finish yet against better clubs, but they get the sinking Pels here, without their top guards and without Zion. Nets overdue for a blowout win, and they will dominate inside and control the pace as well. Young, vibrant upbeat team catching the Pelicans at a time when they seem to be feeling sorry for themselves (understandably so). Nets 8-2 ATS and 4-1 ATS on road; Pels just 2-8 ATS.

Nets point guard Dennis Schroder has cleared this prop total in seven of 10 games, averaging 6.6 assists. With Ben Simmons continuing to come off the bench, Schroder is the main distributor for most of his minutes. And he's averaging more than 35 minutes. The Pelicans are 29th in defensive rating. They're surrendering the fourth-most assists per game overall and the sixth-most to point guards. Look for Schroder to dish out at least six assists Monday.