Holmgren should get significant usage as his backups are banged up. Plus this is an ascending player. We might not see number this low anytime soon

Chet Holmgren is coming off a fantastic rookie season where he made a huge impact in the Thunder frontcourt. Holmgren is set for a heavy workload after Isaiah Hartenstein who the Thunder acquired in the offseason broke his hand. Look for Chet to take another jump in his sophomore season.

Both these clubs were Top 8 in the NBA last year in defensive rating, and OKC should only be better on that end with the offseason trade for Alex Caruso. Three of the four meetings last season ended quite a bit Under this number. The Thunder averaged about six points fewer on the road in 2023-24. Nikola Jokic had a busy summer with Serbia so perhaps he doesn't play massive minutes right out of the gate for the Nugs.