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    Tue, May 2812:00 am UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Boston
    Celtics
    BOS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L80-21
    ATS53-44
    O/U50-49-2
    FINAL SCORE
    105
    -
    102
    Indiana
    Pacers
    IND
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L55-45
    ATS52-44
    O/U52-46-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    80-21
    Win /Loss
    55-45
    53-44
    Spread
    52-44
    50-49-2
    Over / Under
    52-46-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    PG
    Avatar
    PF
    Avatar
    SF
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    BOS @ IND
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    BOS @ IND
    Subscribers Only

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    OVER / UNDER
    BOS @ IND
    Subscribers Only

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    26%
    PUBLIC
    74%
    MONEY
    82%
    PUBLIC
    18%
    MONEY
    Over95%
    PUBLIC
    Under5%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadBoston -7.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +378
    16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
    Brad's Analysis:

    Indiana nearly pulled out Game 3 without Tyrese Haliburton, but that sapped their reserves. They'll fight, but Boston pulls away in this one.

    Pick Made: May 27, 10:27 pm UTC
    1st Half Money Line1st Half Boston -189
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +408
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
    Brad's Analysis:

    Everyone is banking on the team down 3-0 to come out desperate but I think it'll be the reverse, with Boston ready to end this thing. Fast start for the Celtics, Indiana makes a run, Celtics reestablish cushion going into half.

    Pick Made: May 27, 7:25 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + AssistsT.J. McConnell Under 21.5 Total Points + Assists -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Brad's Analysis:

    McConnell has been playing like a borderline All-Star, and that's just not going to continue. I'm betting on Indiana's shooting cooling off some, which hurts the assists, which we'll put somewhere around 5-6. I think McConnell goes for fewer than 15 points.

    Pick Made: May 27, 7:23 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsJayson Tatum Over 9.5 Total Rebounds -139
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Mike's Analysis:

    Jayson Tatum averaged 36 minutes per game during the regular season. During the playoffs, he has averaged 40 minutes. That has helped him haul in at least 10 rebounds in 10 of 13 games. That included him reaching 10 rebounds in two of three games versus the Pacers. During the regular season, he registered at least 10 rebounds in three of the four games that he faced them. There is some blowout risk with Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) likely out again, but the Pacers put up a good fight in Game 3, so I think Tatum is forced to log heavy minutes again Monday. That gives him a great opportunity to record double-digit rebounds.

    Pick Made: May 27, 3:17 pm UTC
    Total Home PointsIndiana Over 107.5 Total Pts -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.5
    +100
    10-8 in Last 18 NBA Team Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Maybe IND has just given up, but if you think they show up at all, at home, where they are 6-1 in playoffs, then this total seems low. Since losing to BOS on 1/6, Pacers have 29 home games, including playoffs. They average 122 points in those games, they have covered this number in all but 1 of them and they have 111+ in 25 of them. They have scored at least 111 in every home playoff game, and BOS can't stop them from the floor this series, shooting over 52% and Haliburton could provide a boost, too. No reason for the Pacers not to play loosey-goosey and extreme run-and-gun down 3-0.

    Pick Made: May 27, 3:11 pm UTC
    Point SpreadIndiana +7.5 -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3578
    197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
    +2461
    108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
    +1110
    22-10 in Last 32 IND ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    It might be time to consult with Johnny Damon, Big Papi, or anyone else from the 2004 Red Sox about how to come back from an 0-3 deficit in the playoffs. There's nobody for the Pacers to seek about how to do it in the NBA because it's never been accomplished in the league. Several teams, however, have avoided getting swept by winning Game 4, and Indiana could easily be sitting with a 2-1 lead into tonight. Even minus Tyrese Haliburton (who might again miss tonight) on Saturday, the Pacers looked like they were about to win into the final minute, with Andrew Nembhard assuming go-to scoring duties and finishing with 32 points. Indy can definitely keep it close! Play Pacers

    Pick Made: May 27, 5:24 am UTC
    Point SpreadIndiana +7.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2001.25
    170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
    +373
    8-5 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +480
    8-3 in Last 11 IND ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    I don't want to say Boston is getting lucky this postseason with injuries to its opponents' best players but man it sure seems like everything is lining up for the Celtics. Definitely may have won it all anyways but yeah they should now without question. That said. Easy letdown spot. They know Tyrese Haliburton (likely) isn't coming back and can simply finish this off at home in Game 5 if need be. I'm fairly confident they do complete the sweep Monday but this is too high.

    Pick Made: May 27, 3:43 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsAl Horford Under 20.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Erik's Analysis:

    The most recent update on Kristaps Porzingis was that he could return for Game 4. Even if the Celtics are careful and hold him out since they're up 3-0, this is a big number for Al Hoford. Big Al has been playing big minutes and even if he does draw the start, this line is greater than his median average as a starter in the playoffs. Go Under.

    Pick Made: May 26, 10:15 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsAndrew Nembhard Under 16.5 Total Points -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3975
    320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Andrew Nembhard stepped up in the absence of Tyrese Haliburton but this is a large points line for the 2nd year player. Nembhard has enjoyed a very solid postseason averaging 14.3 PPG and he has failed to eclipse this scoring line in 13/16 playoff games. These teams are becoming very familiar with one another and the projected total has subsequently dropped as a result.

    Pick Made: May 26, 9:48 pm UTC
    1st Half Total Points1st Half Over 114 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +300
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This number is a little higher than projected total off the game number, but it should be. The Celtics have had a higher scoring 1st half in 11 of 13 playoff games, and Pacers in 11 of 16. IND games averaging 117 in first half. IND games avg 120 in 1st half in 2nd round and this series averaging 121. BOS started fast in both prior elimination games, and expect Pacers to come out sprinting again. IND has a true shooting % of 66.6 in 1st half in this series and BOS at 59.2%. They are averaging almost 150 possesions/1st half in this series. Could be a blowout late, or IND fading (they've played a lot more games than BOS), so staying with 1st half

    Pick Made: May 26, 8:13 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsAl Horford Under 20.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -114
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +3975
    320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I'm actually surprised to even see a line up for Horford considering there is a possibility that Kristaps Porzingis suits up for this game. Maybe because Boston is up 3-0 they don't rush Porzingis back, but in the event he suits up, this number is way too high for him. In the event Al is the starter, this is also a high number as he's failed to eclispe this combo line in 10/13 playoff games. Al has also been logging heavy minutes.

    Pick Made: May 26, 7:40 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    Boston Celtics
    Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Kristaps Porzingis
    Lower Leg
    Indiana Pacers
    Tuesday, May 28, 2024
    Avatar
    PG
    Tyrese Haliburton
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    PF
    Jalen Smith
    IllnessQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Bennedict Mathurin
    ShoulderQuestionable