This is a huge number for Royce O'Neal who is a swiss army knife role player whose biggest impact often doesnt show up on the stat sheet. O'Neal's weakest aspect is his scoring and 12 points is simply a big ask for him. This line is inflated as a result of Devin Booker being out for this game but O'Neal is the type of player whose usage doesnt increase as offensively you can find him primarily attempting corner threes. Even without Booker, I'll take my chances here as O'Neal is at best 5th or 6th in the pecking order for shots.

As a general rule, the line response to a superstar player being out is too extreme, preying on casual gamblers who don't realize how good every player in the NBA is capable of being with increased opportunity. Booker is out for Phoenix. OKC is a better team, but shouldn't be a six point favorite on the road. You have to ride this star-out theory over the long haul, and I'm sticking with it in this case. Give me the Suns.

It looks like no Devin Booker here for the Suns after he sprained an ankle on Saturday in a painful (in more ways than one) loss vs. the Rockets. What's worth noting, however, is that even with D-book in the lineup lately, Phoenix had been trending hard to the "under" as it has now landed that way in six straight games entering Sunday. Ok City should be in an angry mood after getting dumped by the Spurs, but note in the preceding six games, the Thunder had allowed only 107 ppg. Expect defensive focus to be high and recent "totals" trendlines to hold in the desert. Play Thunder-Suns "Under"