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Fri, May 122:00 am UTCFootprint Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L69-33
ATS56-45
O/U47-55-0
FINAL SCORE
125
-
100
Phoenix
Suns
PHO
Last 5 ATS
W/L51-42
ATS46-45
O/U47-43-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
69-33
Win /Loss
51-42
56-45
Spread
46-45
47-55-0
Over / Under
47-43-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ PHO
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MONEYLINE
DEN @ PHO
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ PHO
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadDenver +2 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1029.25
74-46 in Last 120 NBA Sides Picks
+224
6-3 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
+366
14-8 in Last 22 DEN ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Really would like to see Phoenix win so we have a Game 7, but without Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton that's going to be tough unless Kevin Durant and Devin Booker combine for about 90 points. Which they are capable of doing. It sounds as if Jamal Murray will try to play through an illness for the Nugs. Ideally, the Suns do win ... by a point.

Pick Made: May 12, 12:38 am UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsKevin Durant Over 31.5 Total Points -133
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1368.5
70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

There are few players I have more confidence in an elimination game than Kevin Durant. In KD's two previous elimination games he scored for 39 and 48 points. This is exactly the moment Phoenix was preparing for when they acquired Durant at trade deadline. The Suns are without future HOFer Chris Paul, Deandre Ayton has been a massive disappointment in the playoffs and is Questionable with a rib injury, Devin Booker who has been the MVP of the Western Conference is dealing with a foot injury and may be less than 100%. KD is likely going to play the entire 2nd half, get up 25+ shot attempts, and the Suns will need him to score 35+ in order to extend the series.

Pick Made: May 11, 7:17 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total AssistsKevin Durant Over 5.5 Total Assists -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
+273
20-14 in Last 34 NBA Player Props Picks
Tom's Analysis:

Kevin Durant had four assists total in the first two games of this series, and then Chris Paul got hurt. Since then he's taken on a larger role in facilitating the Phoenix offense, and as he's gotten more familiar with his teammates (and they with him), it's producing high assist totals. He's finished with at least six assists in the last three games, and with Paul out again tonight, I see no reason for Phoenix to change things up.

Pick Made: May 11, 5:29 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total AssistsKevin Durant Over 5.5 Total Assists -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1245
28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Chris Paul (groin) has been ruled out again. Over the last three games with him out, Kevin Durant has taken on additional ball-handling responsibilities. With a terrific scorer in Devin Booker at his side, Durant was able to parlay his added opportunities into at least six assists in all three games. It also helped his cause that Durant logged at least 42 minutes in all three games. The over here is the way to go.

Pick Made: May 11, 2:13 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsDevin Booker Over 31.5 Total Points -142
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1245
28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Devin Booker scored 19 points in the first half of Game 5, but a lackluster third quarter contributed to him finishing with 28 points. Prior to that, he had scored at least 35 points in three straight games. That included him scoring 47 and 36 points, respectively, in the two games that were played in Phoenix. With the Suns’ season on the line, look for Booker to provide a monster scoring performance at home.

Pick Made: May 11, 2:08 pm UTC on WHNJ
Money LinePhoenix -155
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249
16-3 in Last 19 NBA Picks
+369
16-8 in Last 24 NBA ML Picks
+684
10-2 in Last 12 DEN ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

While the Suns are facing elimination, the good news for them is that they will have the advantage of Game 6 being played at home. They won both games that were played in Phoenix in this series and are 4-1 at home in the playoffs. That comes on the heels of them going 28-13 at home during the regular season. The Nuggets were a pedestrian 19-22 on the road, so look for Devin Booker and Kevin Durant to help the Suns for a Game 7.

Pick Made: May 11, 1:59 pm UTC on WHNJ

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Monday, May 19, 2025
Avatar
PF
DaRon Holmes II
AchillesOut
Phoenix Suns
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Kevin Durant
AnkleOut
Avatar
SG
Devin Booker
CalfOut
Avatar
C
Nick Richards
ElbowOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
50-41-1
46-44-2
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
20-25
25-20-1
55%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
14-9
33-24-1
57%
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
54%
6-5
11-7
61%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
10-9
21-15-1
58%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
59%
19-13
18-19-1
48%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
49-39-1
46-42-2
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
53%
42-37-1
41-37-2
52%
vs PHO
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DEN
66%
6-3
3-6
33%
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