I typically avoided lines that are "inflated" however I'm willing to roll the dice here. Looney has been averaging 28 MPG over the last three games but is likely get a bump in playing time tonight with Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins both on the shelf. That leaves Looney, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jamychal Green as the only healthy bodies on the Warriors front court. I have Looney projected to play between 30-34 minutes tonight, which bodes well for this prop considering hes eclipsed this line in five consecutive games he has logged at least 30 minutes and while averaging a combined 30 PRA. I also like this match up against Atlanta who play at a top 10 pace and are eighth worst in Defensive Rating.

We’re getting a discounted line here most likely due to Murray having a quiet month, in addition to being held under this combo line in three consecutive games. This is a buy low opportunity on Murray who is averaging 32.1 PRA. It is a fantastic match up against the Warriors who will be missing their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins. This game has a gargantuan 248 point total. Golden State ranks first in Pace and this is precisely the game environment that is conducive to potential ceiling games. This spot checks every box I look for and I like all of Murray’s lines tonight (Points, PA, PR, AR).

The Warriors have lost nine straight on the road. The Hawks haven’t exactly been special with their 18-15 record at home, but the Warriors are now an abysmal 7-27 on the road. To make things even more difficult for the Warriors, Draymond Green (suspension) and Andrew Wiggins (personal) will be out. I can’t resist betting against them on the road again.

This Friday lookahead line was basically a pick'em but has shifted because Steph Curry is questionable with a thumb injury, although he sure looked fine Wednesday with a 50-spot in a loss at the Clippers as Golden State fell to 7-27 on the road and lost its ninth straight away game. Draymond Green also will be suspended for this game after picking up his 16th tech on Wednesday unless he gets that overturned by the league, which can happen. Not sure it will matter with how bad the Dubs are on the road, so I'll just play this now in case it doubles when/if Curry is ruled out tomorrow.