Oklahoma City is 3rd in the league at points per game with 117.9 and New Orleans is 11th at 115.3 points per game. Each team averages over 104 possessions per game and like to play fast. The Pelicans will run with the Thunder as they’ll control the pace of the game. Each team is shooting over 42 percent from beyond the arc over their last three games. I’m on the Over.

The Pelicans have been awful away from New Orleans, recording a 9-18 record on the road. They have actually lost six straight road games. Meanwhile, the Thunder are 16-11 at home and have moved into the final play-in spot in the Western Conference. Luguentz Dort returned in their win against the Trail Blazers on Friday, and they are expected to get back Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (ankle) for this game. I’ll take the points out of this and roll with the Thunder to get the win.

Sadly, another setback for Zion Williamson and the Pels might be without CJ McCollum tonight as well due to an ankle sprain. The Pels are just 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS on the road. Oklahoma City gets a rotational player back in Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (8.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg). He has been out since Dec. 12 with ankle injury. Dario Saric also should make his OKC debut.