The Thunder match-up very well with the Mavericks. The Thunder play fast and will want to turn this into a track meet, taking the Mavs out of their element. Oklahoma City has the rebounding edge, especially offensively. The Thunders guards will try to generate turnovers and convert them into fast-break opportunities, as the Mavs turn the ball over 12.2 times per game, 1st in the league. I'm on the Thunder.

The Mavericks have a 10-4 record at home, but they are 4-7-3 there against the spread. As favorites this season, they are 6-12-2 against the spread. They also struggle against lesser opponents, going 1-6-1 against the spread versus teams that have won fewer than 45 percent of their games. The last time these two teams met, the Thunder won by six points in Dallas. I don’t expect them to win again, but I do like their chances to keep things close.