The Mavericks are down 0-2 in the Western Conference Finals and their stellar home defense could help them climb back into the series. They're allowing less than 94 points per game at the American Airlines Center this postseason. No total has gone over 214 at the venue so far. I like the Mavericks' odds to limit the visitors on offense after blowing a big lead on Friday.

How much does home court matter? (Not much for the Celtics. Wow. Didn't see that coming.) It better be a lot for me to make this play. Honestly, I might be simply fan betting here because I want this to be competitive. Throw out Game 1 vs. Utah when Luka was out and the Mavs haven't lost at home in these playoffs.

A second-half collapse by the Mavericks in Game 2 has them in an 0-2 series hole. Luckily for them, we now shift to Dallas, where they are 6-1 during the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Warriors are only 2-3 on the road in the playoffs. If forced to pick a side, I’d say the Mavericks cover. However, I feel more comfortable rolling with them on the moneyline.

The Warriors should incur a natural letdown after that second half comeback win on Friday night. The Mavs bench should be much better at home. Dallas should be super focused in this spot!