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Fri 05/06 | 11:00 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Heat 29-25, 20-31 ATS
MIA +1-110
MIA -105
Over 210.5-110
Philadelphia 76ers 34-18, 29-22 ATS
PHI -1-110
PHI -115
Under 210.5-110

Expert Picks

NBA | Miami 79 @ Philadelphia 99 | 05/06 | 11:00 PM UTC

Philadelphia +3.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Let's take a shot here. I think Joel Embiid does play after participating in shootaround this morning. Might the Sixers still lose by more than 4? Sure if he's well less than 100 percent, but this is their season so I think they can at worst hang close if the MVP is in there and this number will only drop if he is.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+826 65-39 IN LAST 104 NBA PICKS
+370 7-3 IN LAST 10 MIA ATS PICKS

Season Splits

29-25, 20-31 ATS
34-18, 29-22 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
51-38
41-47-2
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
26-17
19-25
43%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
33-32
13-13-1
50%
When Spread was -2.5 to +1
SPREAD
When Spread was -1 to +2.5
53%
7-6
4-4
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
12-12
4-5
44%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
65%
21-11
18-24-1
42%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
56%
48-37
36-44-2
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
60%
45-30
36-41-2
46%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
66%
4-2
2-4
33%