The Kings have made strides, and that has been evident against the spread. They have covered in their last four games, including a close 124-123 loss against the Charlotte Hornets on Friday night. But tonight they’re facing an undaunted young and energetic Cleveland team. Look for the Kings' lackluster defensive effort and extended travel to hurt them in the second half. Take the Cavaliers.

Both teams played Friday, with Sacramento's De'Aaron Fox missing two free throws that would have sealed a win against the Hornets. The Cavs had a season-high seven players score in double figures and shot better than 52 percent from the field in a win against Minnesota. This will be Cleveland's fourth game in six days, and the Cavs are 1-18 SU and 4-14 ATS vs. Pacific Division foes. The Kings are 20-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back games. I like the road team in this spot.

The Under has hit in five of the last six meetings between these teams. Cleveland has the second-best defense in the NBA, allowing 102 points per game, and just 98 points over their past eight. They score 105.6 points (23rd), while the Kings are fourth-best in scoring (111.5) but 29th on the defensive end (113.9). Sacramento struggles from three-point range (33.1 percent, 24th in NBA), while Cleveland is 15th from outside (35.2 percent. The number here is too high, with the model projecting 220 points and the Under hitting a convincing 77 percent of the time.