Have to say this spread surprises me a bit even with the Cavs down Kevin Love and Lauri Markkanen as Portland is playing its third road game in four nights and lost the first two by double digits each. The Blazers are 0-3 on the road and haven't covered any. Damian Lillard doesn't look right yet. Cleveland still has plenty of talent and is 5-1 in its past six as a dog.

The Trail Blazers are only going to go as far as Damian Lillard can carry them. He’s only shot 34.9 percent from the field this season, including 23.1 percent from behind the arc. That’s played a big role in their 3-4 start. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been more competitive than last season, using an improved defense to go 5-3 ATS. After finally returning home from a long road trip, look for the Cavaliers to put up a good fight. If Lillard remains cold, they could even win outright.