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Thu 05/20 | 2:00 AM UTC | Los Angeles
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Golden St. Warriors 39-33, 37-35 ATS
GS +5.5
GS +210
Over 217
L.A. Lakers 42-30, 32-38 ATS
LAL -5.5
LAL -250
Under 217

Expert Picks

Golden St. 100 @ L.A. Lakers 103 | 05/20 | 2:00 AM UTC

L.A. Lakers -215

WIN

ANALYSIS: One can't ever count out Steph Curry winning a game on his own, but I don't see a path otherwise for the Dubs winning on the road Wednesday with the Lakers at full strength. I'm surprised the spread/moneyline isn't bigger. Never bet against LeBron James in a must-win game. Golden State remains without starting swingman Kelly Oubre Jr. and perhaps two reserves.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1716 61-28 IN LAST 89 NBA ML PICKS
+347 8-3 IN LAST 11 GS ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 LAL ML PICKS

Season Splits

39-33, 37-35 ATS
42-30, 32-38 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
37-35
32-38-2
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
38%
14-22
14-21-1
40%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
17-23
24-27-1
47%
When Spread was +4 to +7
SPREAD
When Spread was -7 to -4
47%
8-9
11-6
64%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
30%
7-16
12-18
40%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
50%
12-12
10-9-1
52%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
52%
37-33
31-37-2
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
31-26
24-33-2
42%
vs LAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs GS
33%
1-2
2-1
66%