Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
CJ McCollum is back for Portland, and he was off to a blazing-hot start (26.7 ppg) before going down with a broken foot. I'm sure McCollum won't be playing 35 minutes right away, but he can only help to take some of the load off Damian Lillard. New Orleans hasn't played a road game since Feb. 27 and is just 5-12 away. I'll go with the moneyline at -127 instead of -2 at -110 simply to take a 1-point win or 2-point push out of the equation. Portland has thrived on lower-tier defenses like the Pels' this season. New Orleans has allowed teams to shoot 39.1% on threes, the third-highest in the league.
The Trail Blazers get C.J. McCollum back and should kill the Pelicans from deep, while the Pelicans should score at will inside. Each team has an elite offense and a bottom-three defense. Go Over.
The Blazers are 4-2 over in their last six games. The Pelicans are 27-11 over on the season. CJ McCollum will return from a 25-game layoff on Tuesday. He was averaging 26.7 points per game before his foot injury. These two teams combined for 250 points last month, and that was without McCollum. Portland's defense allows 116.9 points per 100 possessions, which is 29th in the league. New Orleans' defense allows 116.1 points per 100 possessions, 28th in the NBA. My model has the total at 246 points here.
Team Injuries










