The Raptors Nick Nurse has proven himself as one of the NBA's top coaches. Toronto ranks second in the NBA in defensive efficiency (104.7 points per 100 possessions). The Raptors also play at an average pace. Meanwhile Orlando's offense ranks 22nd in efficiency (108.1). Its defense is the key to the team's success. The Magic's pace is one of the slowest in the league. Take the Under.

This is not an ideal situation for the Magic. They just played on Tuesday in what was an 11-point loss to the Pacers. That came on the heels of them losing Jonathan Isaac (knee) for the season. Now they have to face the Raptors, who haven’t played since Monday and have won both of their games in the bubble. They have already faced the Magic three times this season, winning each contest by at least seven points. One was a 16-point win. Despite this lofty line, I like the Raptors to cover.

The Raptors are 23-4 over their last 27 games and their defense should be the difference here. I'm laying the points against a Magic team playing for the second straight day and hurting from the loss of Jonathan Isaac.

The model loves the Under in this potential Eastern Conference playoff preview with 76 percent of the simulations staying Under 224.5. Toronto is one of the NBA's best defensive teams, especially against the 3-pointer, and has the rest advantage in being off since Monday, while it's the second of a back-to-back for Orlando -- so the Magic could have some tired legs.